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"2026-09-22T12:38:19.351Z", "result": null, "outcome": "pending", "earnedConfidencePoints": 0, "tiebreakerResult": null }, { "gameId": "2026_03_LAC_BUF", "yahooOrder": 2, "kickoff": { "date": "2026-09-27", "weekday": "Sunday", "timeEt": "13:00", "yahooDisplayEt": "Sunday, Sep 27, 1:00 pm EDT", "iso": "2026-09-27T17:00:00.000Z" }, "away": { "abbr": "LAC", "name": "Los Angeles Chargers", "restDays": 7 }, "home": { "abbr": "BUF", "name": "Buffalo Bills", "restDays": 10 }, "predictedWinner": "BUF", "modelWinProbability": 0.771, "rankingScore": 77.10000000000001, "winProbability": 0.771, "confidencePoints": 14, "confidenceCap": 7, "capRelaxedForRankUniqueness": true, "policyWarnings": [ "preferred-cap-exceeded-probability-order" ], "allocationPolicy": "expected-points-v2", "allocationSnapshotAt": "2026-09-22T12:38:19.351Z", "featureVersion": "canonical-context-v1", "decisionCutoff": "2026-09-22T12:37:43.356Z", "adjustmentLedger": [ { "adjustmentId": "kalshi-paired-v2", "requestedDelta": 2, 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"locationType": "Neutral", "city": null, "country": null, "timezone": null, "neutralSite": true, "enclosureType": "unknown", "roofState": "unknown", "weatherExposure": "unknown", "roof": null, "surface": "matrixturf", "temperatureF": null, "windMph": null, "rawProvider": { "stadium": "Maracana Stadium", "location": "Neutral", "roof": "" }, "sources": [ "https://github.com/nflverse/nflverse-data/releases/download/schedules/games.csv" ], "effectiveForEvent": "2026_03_BAL_DAL", "verifiedAt": null, "sourceObservedAt": null, "retrievedAt": "2026-09-22T12:37:40.255Z", "warnings": [] } }, "method": "openai", "analysisSnapshot": { "promptVersion": "2026.4-audit", "gameId": "2026_03_BAL_DAL", "kickoff": "2026-09-27T20:25:00.000Z", "venue": { "stadium": "Maracana Stadium", "locationType": "Neutral", "neutralSite": true, "roof": null, "surface": "matrixturf" }, "weather": { "wind": "unknown", "precipitation": "unknown", "temperature": "unknown" }, "injuries": { "away": { "qb": [], "key": [] }, "home": { "qb": [], "key": [] } }, "sportsbook": { "favorite": "BAL", "favoriteSpreadPoints": 3, "totalLine": 52.5, "homeWinProbability": 0.4170073589533933 }, "yahoo": { "favorite": "BAL", "favoritePickPct": 68, "explicitTiebreakOrder": null }, "kalshi": { "spreadFavorite": "BAL", "favoriteSpreadPoints": 3.5, "spreadEdgeStrength": "moderate", "spreadQuality": "high", "moneylineFavorite": "BAL", "favoriteWinProbability": 0.595, "moneylineEdgeStrength": "normal", "moneylineQuality": "high", "combinedEdgeStrength": "normal", "signalEligible": true, "exclusionReason": null } }, "lastAnalyzedAt": "2026-09-22T12:38:19.351Z", "analysisCheckpoint": { "ids": [ "initial-2026-3" ], "type": "initial", "label": "Initial weekly analysis", "targetGameIds": [ "2026_03_ATL_GB", "2026_03_LAC_BUF", "2026_03_CAR_CLE", "2026_03_NYJ_DET", "2026_03_HOU_IND", "2026_03_KC_MIA", "2026_03_TEN_NYG", "2026_03_CIN_PIT", "2026_03_SEA_WAS", "2026_03_NE_JAX", "2026_03_ARI_SF", "2026_03_MIN_TB", "2026_03_BAL_DAL", 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null, "retrievedAt": null, "raw": { "awayMoneyline": 145, "homeMoneyline": -175 } }, "observedAt": null }, "yahoo": { "selectedTeam": "LV", "poolType": "confidenceOnly", "poolCategory": "straight-up", "pickPct": 23, "eligible": true, "exclusionReason": null, "sourceObservedAt": null, "retrievedAt": "2026-09-22T12:37:40.805Z", "sourceUrl": "https://football.fantasysports.yahoo.com/pickem/pickdistribution?gid=&week=3&type=c", "raw": { "key": "LV-NO", "dateDisplayEt": "Sunday, Sep 27, 4:25 pm EDT", "favoriteAbbr": "NO", "underdogAbbr": "LV", "favoriteIsHome": true, "underdogIsHome": false, "favoriteSpreadPoints": 3.5, "explicitTiebreakOrder": null, "distributions": { "straightUp": { "poolType": "straightUp", "poolCategory": "straight-up", "favoriteAbbr": "NO", "underdogAbbr": "LV", "sourceObservedAt": null, "retrievedAt": "2026-09-22T12:37:40.805Z", "sourceUrl": "https://football.fantasysports.yahoo.com/pickem/pickdistribution?gid=&week=3&type=", "favoritePickPct": 79, "underdogPickPct": 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"eligible": true, "exclusionReason": null, "sourceObservedAt": null, "retrievedAt": "2026-09-22T12:37:40.805Z", "sourceUrl": "https://football.fantasysports.yahoo.com/pickem/pickdistribution?gid=&week=3&type=c", "raw": { "key": "DEN-LA", "dateDisplayEt": "Sunday, Sep 27, 8:20 pm EDT", "favoriteAbbr": "LA", "underdogAbbr": "DEN", "favoriteIsHome": false, "underdogIsHome": true, "favoriteSpreadPoints": 2.5, "explicitTiebreakOrder": null, "distributions": { "straightUp": { "poolType": "straightUp", "poolCategory": "straight-up", "favoriteAbbr": "LA", "underdogAbbr": "DEN", "sourceObservedAt": null, "retrievedAt": "2026-09-22T12:37:40.805Z", "sourceUrl": "https://football.fantasysports.yahoo.com/pickem/pickdistribution?gid=&week=3&type=", "favoritePickPct": 60, "underdogPickPct": 40, "favoriteAvgConfidence": null, "underdogAvgConfidence": null, "favoriteRecord": "1-1 (0-0)", "underdogRecord": "1-1 (1-0)" }, "spreadOnly": { "poolType": "spreadOnly", "poolCategory": "against-the-spread", "favoriteAbbr": "LA", "underdogAbbr": "DEN", "sourceObservedAt": null, "retrievedAt": "2026-09-22T12:37:40.805Z", "sourceUrl": "https://football.fantasysports.yahoo.com/pickem/pickdistribution?gid=&week=3&type=s", "favoritePickPct": 42, "underdogPickPct": 58, "favoriteAvgConfidence": null, "underdogAvgConfidence": null, "favoriteRecord": "1-1 (0-0)", "underdogRecord": "1-1 (1-0)" }, "confidenceOnly": { "poolType": "confidenceOnly", "poolCategory": "straight-up", "favoriteAbbr": "LA", "underdogAbbr": "DEN", "sourceObservedAt": null, "retrievedAt": "2026-09-22T12:37:40.805Z", "sourceUrl": "https://football.fantasysports.yahoo.com/pickem/pickdistribution?gid=&week=3&type=c", "favoritePickPct": 63, "underdogPickPct": 37, "favoriteAvgConfidence": 4.5, "underdogAvgConfidence": 3.8, "favoriteRecord": "1-1 (0-0)", "underdogRecord": "1-1 (1-0)" }, "spreadAndConfidence": { "poolType": "spreadAndConfidence", "poolCategory": "against-the-spread", "favoriteAbbr": "LA", "underdogAbbr": "DEN", 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